• Tweet count22 Oct 2026, 23:55 UTC

    Will @elonmusk post 20+ original tweets today?

  • Tweet count21 Oct 2026, 23:55 UTC

    Will @kimchi1x post one tweet today?

  • Tweet count21 Oct 2026, 23:55 UTC

    Will @pumpdotfun publish 3+ original posts on Oct 22?

  • Tweet count21 Oct 2026, 23:55 UTC

    Will @a1lon9 publish 8+ original posts on Oct 22?

  • Will they post it?25 Oct 2026, 23:55 UTC

    Will @jackduval post a verified Pump.fun mint, Oct 26–Nov 1?

  • KOL vs KOL21 Oct 2026, 23:55 UTC

    Will @Cupseyy post more originals than @Cented7 on Oct 22?

  • Tweet count25 Oct 2026, 23:55 UTC

    Will @Cented7 publish 20+ originals, Oct 26–Nov 1?

Tweet countCloses 22 Oct 2026, 23:55 UTC

Will @elonmusk post 20+ original tweets today?

Elon Musk@elonmusk

50%of stakes on YES

5.00 SOL pool

Bet YES with SOL
Deadlines, evidence & refund rules
Betting closes
22 Oct 2026, 23:55 UTC
Observation window
22 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC to 22 Oct 2026, 23:55 UTC. Start inclusive; end exclusive.
YES / NO rule
YES if @elonmusk publishes 20 or more original standalone posts during the UTC day of October 22, 2026, before close (23:55 UTC). Replies, quote posts and reposts do not count. Each post counts once; a post deleted after being public still counts. The proof link will list the post URLs.
Proposed source
Settled by the PumpMarket team with a public proof link

Every result is settled by the PumpMarket team with a public proof link (the post URL or a screenshot) showing the post ID, account and UTC timestamp. Handles are display labels; results are checked against the account itself.

Deleted and edited posts. A deleted post counts only if its qualifying API record was archived before deletion. Repeated records of the same post ID count once. Edits do not create new posts.

Challenge period. After the observation window ends, publish the result and evidence. Allow 24 hours for challenges; no payout before review. Unresolved disputes after 48 hours void the market.

Void / refund. Void and return stakes without a platform fee if evidence is incomplete, the account becomes inaccessible during the window, a dispute remains unresolved, or either side has no stake at close. Network transaction costs are not refunded.

No affiliation with the featured accounts.

PumpMarket

Prediction markets on KOL tweets.

Pick a side. Win SOL when you call it right.

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About PumpMarket

Prediction markets for the trenches.

Bet SOL on measurable questions about public posts: an exact count, a verified mint address, or which account posts more. Every market settles on archived evidence, with a proof link and a 1-hour challenge window before winners are paid.

How it works

From tweet to payout.

  1. Step 1

    Choose a measurable event

    Rules fixed before betting

    An exact account, post type and UTC window. Betting closes before the observation period ends, and the rules never change once the market opens.

  2. Step 2

    Pick YES or NO

    Pooled stakes · variable return

    Your SOL stays in the pool until the market settles. Pool percentages show where stakes sit, not the true chance of winning. There is no early cash-out.

  3. Step 3

    Verify, then settle

    Evidence + 1-hour challenge

    After evidence review, winners recover their stakes and share the losing pool, less a 3% fee on winnings. Losers lose their stakes; void markets return stakes.